70% of business leaders say they will need to apply for additional funding in 2025, according to a recent round of our Business Outlook Tracker.  

With access to funding high on the agenda, it’s important for businesses to stay ahead of the trends that are shaping the capital markets. 

In this insight, our experts share a high-level view of the outlook for three key sources of funding - private equity, IPOs, and debt financing.

From record levels of private equity dry powder to a potential rebound in IPOs and an increased focus on alternative funding options, 2025 offers a range of opportunities for businesses to secure the funding required to fuel growth. 

Peter Jennings
"There’s capital available – but businesses need to bring compelling cases to the table to access it: what growth goals will the capital drive? What returns are you projecting? And can you substantiate this with a track record of investments that delivered strong ROI? Clarity and credibility are key to investor confidence."
Peter Jennings Head of Corporate Finance

The outlook for private equity 

Amo Anim-Addo, Partner, Private Equity Coverage

From a private equity perspective, record amounts of dry powder remain available in 2025, with funds actively seeking quality businesses to deploy the capital accumulated during the tough macroeconomic conditions of recent years. As economic and political conditions become more stable, deployment is a top priority for many firms.  

Private equity funding continues to offer increasingly flexible and tailored solutions to suit individual business needs, often accompanied by strategic and operational support. We expect to see significant activity in the space this year.

As always, firms will be attracted to businesses with a certain type of profile: cash generative, with a strong growth story, and high-quality management teams. 

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Private equity review 2024

2024 saw a tale of two halves for private equity, with a boost in investor activity from August onwards. Discover key trends, standout deals from the past year, and what businesses can expect as the private equity landscape evolves in 2025. 

Read the full PE review

 

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The outlook for IPO activity
Philip Secrett Partner, Head of Public Company Advisory

While equity market activity levels were very strong in 2024, the IPO activity in the UK remained muted. This was largely due to a lack of confidence and certainty - both of which are critical for successful IPOs. However, there was some noteworthy activity, including strong candidates such as Raspberry Pi and Astera Labs. 
 
Looking to the outlook for 2025, we’re starting to see corporate interest rise, supported by increasing engagement from UK institutional investors who are eager to evaluate promising candidates.  

With inflation settled, improved confidence levels and interest rates more stable than they were beginning of the year, we can expect the second half of 2025 to have more levels of activity from an IPO perspective. It should be on the table for businesses when looking at equity options, particularly as market conditions stabilise. 

During our recent Beyond Now event, Tim Davis, Regional Head of Primary Markets at the London Stock Exchange Group, emphasised that preparation is key for businesses looking to list. 
 
"The companies who come to us that really stand out are the ones that have a plan. They know how it works, and they've done all their homework. Any buy-side fund manager will tell you they've always got money for the right proposition," he shared. 

"The most common conversation we have is about valuations. We are still operating in a buyers' market. That's not to say they won't pay a premium for a premium proposition, but they will think very carefully before doing so. You need to be clear on why you want a particular investor, and why they should want to invest in you."  

How will regulatory changes shape the IPO landscape? 

In 2024, the FCA introduced reforms aimed at making the UK more attractive for IPOs. Uncover the opportunities this presents for your business if you are looking to get, or stay, on market. 

Read the deep dive article
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The outlook for debt financing
George Fieldhouse Partner, Head of Debt Advisory

Businesses looking to refinance in 2025 face a significantly different landscape than in recent years, with the base rate now at 4.75% - a sharp contrast to the abnormally low 0.25% seen in COVID-19 times.

Lending committees are also aware of the challenges businesses are facing – such as rising input and labour costs and, in some sectors, waning consumer confidence – and will continue to approach lending decisions with caution.

However, this environment also presents exciting opportunities for those businesses that are well-prepared to access them. 

Banks have strong liquidity and are setting ambitious lending targets – meaning there are plenty of opportunities for businesses that can confidently articulate their ability to afford debt and provide a watertight information back that instils confidence.

As traditional lenders become more selective, businesses are increasingly turning to alternative funding sources for support.

Challenger banks, private credit funds, and government-backed schemes are playing a growing role. With our Business Outlook Tracker finding 69% of UK businesses are increasingly turning to alternative lenders to access funding, now may be a good time to assess whether your current financing is the best deal on offer and explore alternatives. 

Podcast: 2024 debt market review and 2025 outlook 

Want deeper insights into the 2025 debt market forecast? Tune in to Behind the Transaction, where George and Corporate Finance Director Adam Hughes discuss what businesses can expect in the coming year.

Catch up on the episode

 

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Watch the recording and key takeaways

Beyond Now: The future of funding 

We recently convened a panel of economists, lenders and investors from Shawbrook Bank, the Business Growth Fund, the London Stock Exchange, and Institute for Government to discuss the longer-term trends that will shape business funding – from the influence of ESG factors to businesses’ use of technology. 

From the growing influence of ESG factors to the evolving role of technology, the discussion offered valuable insights into the funding landscape of tomorrow.

Find out more
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